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Chapter 4 Part 7

Life Table and Survival Analysis

Survival Analysis is used to Analyze the survival experience of a group of persons or components. In medical research, survival analysis is helpful is studying the survival of patients under one or more conditions. In industry, the survival may be that of a component such as an electronic switch or a gear.

To perform a survival analysis, the data must be in the following form:

1) a TIME variable which contains a time (e.g., minutes, days, years, etc.) in which the subject or component has been observed to be alive (not failed).

2) a CENSOR variable which must take on the values 0 or 1,  where 1 means the subject has died (failed), and a 0 means the subject was still alive (not failed) at the last available time period.

3) optionally, a GROUPING variable which may have up to ten values (numeric or character), i.e., the data may be in groups.

WINKS allows you to choose from two types of life tables, Actuarial or Kaplan-Meier. The Actuarial method uses fixed length intervals in the table, and the Kaplan-Meier table uses intervals based on the data. Once the data are entered into the program, a life table for each group is produced which includes, for each time interval, the number entered, withdrawn, lost, dead, exposed, the proportion dead, proportion surviving, cumulative proportion surviving, and other information.

A plot is given for the cumulative proportion surviving in the group(s) against time. If more than one group is entered, a Mantel-Haenszel log-rank test is performed to test the hypothesis of equal survival patterns for the groups. A reference to how this test is developed is covered in Matthews and Farewell (1988).

Actuarial Life table analysis - Actuarial

The data for this example are in the LIFE.DBF database on the WINKS disk. These data are from Prentice (1973). To perform this analysis, follow these steps:

Step 1: Open the database named LIFE.DBF.

Step 2: From the Analyze menu, choose “Life Tables and Survival Analysis” then select "Actuarial Life Table Analysis".

Step 3: Select SURVIVAL and CENSOR fields (in that order), then select

GROUP as the Group field. A portion of the LIFE database is shown here:

SURVIVAL   CENSOR   GROUP 
     72                   1               1
   411                   1               1
   228                   1               1
     11                   1               1
     25                   0               1
etc...

The first column is the SURVIVAL field with entries of length of life, or length of survival. The second column is the CENSOR field, an indicator of whether the subject has failed (died) or not at the last observed time period. 1 means failed, 0 means not failed (still alive). The third column contains a grouping variable. In this case it is either 1 or 2. Group 1 may represent one treatment, while group 2 represents another kind of treatment. The objective is to compute survival curves to see if the treatments provide different average survival distributions.

Step 4: Specify a desired interval length or you can use the default length by simply pressing Enter. For this example, press Enter to select the default length.

Step 5: WINKS will perform the calculations and display the results in the viewer.

---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Life Table and Survival Analysis C:\WINKS46P\LIFE.DBF
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

Actuarial Table Analysis

SURVIVAL GROUP:0


Interval     Enter   With-   Dead  Exposed  Prop.          Cumulative   S.E.
             Alive   drawn                  Dead   Alive    Survival
  0.0  99.0     38      2      22    37.00   0.5946  0.405    1.0000    0.0000
 99.0 198.0     14      0       4    14.00   0.2857  0.714    0.4054    0.0807
198.0 297.0     10      1       3     9.50   0.3158  0.684    0.2896    0.0756
297.0 396.0      6      0       2     6.00   0.3333  0.667    0.1981    0.0677
etc...

				95% confidence limits
Interval     Exposed   Cumulative     Lower        Upper        Hazard
                        Survival      Bound        Bound       Function
  0.0 99.0      37.0       1.000      1.000        1.000         0.009
 99.0 198.0     14.0       0.405      0.247        0.564         0.003
198.0 297.0      9.5       0.290      0.141        0.438         0.004
etc...

                         Summary Table

    Total     Dead    Withdrawn   Percent Censored
--------------------------------------------------
      38       35         3           7.89%
etc...
(Continues for Group 1)

Mantel-Haenszel comparison of survival curves
-------------------------------------------------------
Chi-Square = .7472     with 1 D.F      appx p = 0.388


The first table includes the numbers of  subjects entered alive, withdrawn, dead, exposed, the proportion dead, proportion alive, cumulative survival proportion and standard error for the first group. The second table includes 95% confidence limits on the cumulative survival proportion

From the table, you can see that, in the first group, 22 of 37 exposed, or 59.5% died in the first interval (0.0-99.0) and two were withdrawn. In the second group, 12 of 23.5 exposed (51.1%) died and one was withdrawn in the first interval. At the end of the report, WINKS reports the results of the Mantel-Haenszel comparison of the two curves. The hypotheses being tested are: 

Ho: The survival curves are the same.
Ha: The survival curves are not the same.

 In this example, the Mantel-Haenszel comparison procedure results in a chi-square statistic of 0.7191 and a p-value of 0.397. This p-value is much too large to reject the hypothesis of equal curves. This indicates that the two distributions are not statistically significantly different - thus neither treatment is superior in terms of survival distributions.

Step 6:  Click on Graph to display a graph of survival curves.


Kaplan-Meier Analysis

Data for a Kaplan-Meier analysis is the same as for the Actuarial analysis. Follow the same steps listed in the above example, except you will not enter an interval length.

The Kaplan-Meier life table contains most of the same information as the Actuarial Life Table. However, instead of the time intervals being fixed, the time intervals are based on time values from the data.  The Mantel-Haenzel statistic will be the same for both Life Table  analysis types. 

On the Kaplan-Meier survival plot, you may optionally choose to include markers indicating censored values. The following plot was created using the LIFE.DBF data set:


 
Continue to Chapter 5. (Advanced Statistics.)  

     


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